Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/6 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+68.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +16.4 | -16.2 | +1.0 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 15% | 25% | 24% | -15.2 | +22.4 | -4.0 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 30% | 22% | 22% | +36.8 | -3.6 | -31.8 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 6,400 from Shiratori Sho | 55% | 21% | 7% | 17% | +14.7 | 0.0 | -14.8 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 71% | 15% | 2% | 13% | 0.0 | +9.9 | -1.1 | -8.8 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 72% | 19% | 2% | 7% | +21.4 | -10.1 | -6.8 | -4.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Murakami Jun | 91% | 6% | 0% | 2% | +10.2 | +2.0 | +3.0 | -15.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 96% | 3% | 0% | 0% | -0.1 | -15.0 | +16.7 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 98% | 1% | 0% | 0% | -12.1 | -6.7 | -6.5 | +25.4 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000 | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | -8.5 | -18.7 | +49.7 | -22.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 90% | 0% | 8% | 2% | +2.5 | -5.4 | -26.4 | +29.4 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +1.7 | +21.9 | -27.7 | +4.1 |