Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/6 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+68.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 27% | 23% | 23% | 27% | +13.1 | -13.2 | +1.4 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 16% | 24% | 24% | -12.9 | +19.3 | -3.2 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 26% | 28% | 23% | 23% | +35.6 | -1.6 | -31.3 | -2.7 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 6,400 from Sho Shiratori | 57% | 20% | 7% | 16% | +14.3 | +0.1 | -15.9 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 71% | 14% | 2% | 13% | -0.4 | +10.6 | -1.6 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 21% | 1% | 7% | +22.9 | -11.4 | -5.7 | -5.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Jun Murakami | 92% | 5% | 0% | 2% | +9.7 | +2.0 | +2.6 | -14.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 96% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0.0 | -13.7 | +15.4 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | -12.7 | -6.3 | -6.4 | +25.4 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 96% | 1% | 1% | 3% | -8.5 | -19.9 | +50.2 | -21.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 91% | 0% | 6% | 3% | +2.9 | -6.0 | -25.4 | +28.5 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +1.4 | +22.9 | -28.4 | +4.1 |