Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/6 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +31.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -6.2 | +2.2 | +2.5 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,500 | 21% | 25% | 27% | 27% | +8.9 | -2.1 | -5.9 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | +0.2 | -31.3 | +31.1 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 8% | 45% | 23% | +5.5 | +1.3 | -2.6 | -4.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 28% | 8% | 44% | 20% | +6.0 | -4.2 | +2.1 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 32% | 7% | 45% | 16% | -11.0 | -1.3 | +12.2 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 5% | 61% | 14% | -7.5 | -14.0 | -4.9 | +26.3 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 9,600 | 14% | 0% | 54% | 32% | -9.8 | -3.4 | +24.0 | -10.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 3% | 0% | 84% | 13% | +8.4 | -3.8 | +2.3 | -6.9 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 0% | 91% | 8% | -10.1 | +1.7 | +3.7 | +4.6 |