Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/6 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -4.2 | +5.3 | -2.4 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 28% | 25% | 25% | +9.5 | -6.7 | -2.9 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 28% | 22% | 24% | 27% | -1.6 | -29.8 | +33.3 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 7% | 48% | 21% | +5.5 | +3.9 | -4.0 | -5.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 28% | 9% | 45% | 18% | +4.3 | -5.1 | +1.1 | -0.2 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 30% | 7% | 46% | 17% | -9.3 | -2.4 | +11.8 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 5% | 62% | 14% | -7.9 | -13.6 | -4.5 | +26.0 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 9,600 | 14% | 0% | 54% | 32% | -8.1 | -3.9 | +24.5 | -12.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 2% | 0% | 86% | 12% | +6.4 | -3.2 | +1.4 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 0% | 91% | 8% | -9.1 | +1.7 | +3.7 | +3.6 |