Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/7 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+79.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +45.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -8.4 | +7.8 | -1.6 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 19% | 31% | 24% | 26% | -1.3 | +14.8 | -11.6 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 43% | 17% | 23% | +7.7 | -8.7 | -5.1 | +6.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 23% | 34% | 14% | 28% | -2.6 | -1.0 | +8.1 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 34% | 19% | 26% | +7.8 | -1.5 | -5.2 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin | 27% | 32% | 15% | 26% | -5.5 | +9.4 | -0.5 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 22% | 43% | 14% | 21% | +7.8 | -1.7 | -3.8 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 40% | 12% | 19% | -12.4 | -5.9 | -4.8 | +23.2 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 33% | 11% | 38% | -15.4 | +48.5 | -11.2 | -21.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 88% | 3% | 8% | -0.1 | +0.4 | -4.4 | +4.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 2% | 86% | 2% | 9% | -3.3 | +3.1 | -3.0 | +3.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,000 from Maehara Yudai | 1% | 89% | 2% | 9% | +0.6 | -0.2 | +3.1 | -3.5 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 0% | 92% | 1% | 6% | -29.1 | -1.3 | +31.7 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 89% | 5% | 6% | -7.5 | -17.4 | +42.0 | -17.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 62% | 35% | 4% | -7.4 | -30.1 | +45.6 | -8.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 2% | 97% | 1% | +15.9 | -15.2 | +0.3 | -1.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -0.4 | +2.2 | -0.3 | -1.5 |