Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/7 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+79.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +45.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -9.2 | +12.5 | -1.3 | -2.0 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 19% | 33% | 23% | 24% | +0.5 | +8.5 | -10.7 | +1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 39% | 16% | 25% | +2.5 | -3.7 | -2.2 | +3.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 36% | 17% | 27% | -1.1 | -3.2 | +6.6 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 35% | 19% | 25% | +10.4 | -0.7 | -8.1 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Koshin Asakura | 28% | 32% | 15% | 25% | -6.8 | +7.5 | +1.6 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 41% | 15% | 22% | +6.8 | -0.6 | -2.6 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 40% | 14% | 19% | -10.6 | -4.3 | -7.8 | +22.6 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 35% | 10% | 37% | -16.3 | +46.9 | -10.4 | -20.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 87% | 2% | 8% | +1.0 | +1.7 | -4.7 | +1.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 88% | 2% | 7% | -3.2 | +2.0 | -2.1 | +3.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,000 from Yudai Maehara | 2% | 89% | 2% | 8% | -0.6 | +0.8 | +3.0 | -3.1 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 1% | 94% | 1% | 5% | -28.9 | -2.0 | +31.8 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 90% | 4% | 6% | -7.9 | -18.4 | +42.8 | -16.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 60% | 37% | 3% | -7.1 | -30.2 | +45.3 | -8.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 2% | 98% | 1% | +16.3 | -14.1 | -0.9 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -0.8 | +1.9 | 0.0 | -1.0 |