Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/10 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+52.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | +29.0 | -9.8 | -9.3 | -9.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 17% | 16% | 19% | -4.0 | -3.2 | +3.1 | +4.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 6,000 | 44% | 17% | 19% | 20% | -5.9 | +17.3 | -4.9 | -6.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 39% | 26% | 18% | 18% | +3.0 | -24.7 | +21.5 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 11% | 29% | 17% | -8.1 | +0.8 | +4.4 | +2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,300 from Takaharu Ooi | 35% | 13% | 33% | 19% | -4.7 | +5.4 | -1.0 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 33% | 14% | 33% | 21% | -16.1 | +17.3 | +1.7 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 26% | 35% | 18% | -11.2 | -5.3 | +20.0 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 20% | 57% | 14% | +46.3 | -22.9 | -11.7 | -11.7 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 52% | 5% | 37% | 7% | -1.4 | -4.6 | -1.6 | +7.5 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 51% | 3% | 34% | 12% | -17.4 | -13.1 | +32.1 | -1.6 |