Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/10 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+52.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | +30.4 | -13.6 | -7.3 | -9.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 47% | 18% | 18% | 17% | -3.0 | -1.0 | -0.6 | +4.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 46% | 17% | 18% | 19% | -5.0 | +15.9 | -6.2 | -4.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 42% | 25% | 16% | 18% | +1.0 | -24.6 | +23.8 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 42% | 12% | 29% | 17% | -6.9 | +1.0 | +2.2 | +3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,300 from Ooi Takaharu | 35% | 13% | 33% | 20% | -5.2 | +7.2 | -0.4 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 32% | 17% | 32% | 19% | -16.5 | +15.2 | +3.0 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 26% | 36% | 18% | -9.7 | -6.1 | +21.7 | -5.9 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 17% | 59% | 13% | +45.0 | -23.3 | -12.7 | -9.0 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 51% | 4% | 36% | 9% | -1.4 | -2.5 | -2.3 | +6.3 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 50% | 3% | 35% | 12% | -17.2 | -13.9 | +32.0 | -1.0 |