Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/11 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 7,700 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +20.1 | -21.3 | +2.4 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 38% | 13% | 25% | 24% | -7.2 | -2.9 | -5.3 | +15.5 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 31% | 12% | 22% | 35% | +24.9 | -22.8 | +0.5 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 9,600 | 52% | 3% | 17% | 28% | -9.2 | -6.9 | +26.0 | -10.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 43% | 2% | 34% | 21% | +23.4 | -0.5 | -22.8 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 68% | 2% | 13% | 17% | -1.2 | +2.6 | +5.6 | -7.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 2% | 16% | 12% | -13.8 | -4.9 | -8.1 | +26.9 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 52% | 1% | 13% | 33% | -7.1 | -5.9 | -4.9 | +17.9 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,100 | 37% | 0% | 9% | 54% | +9.2 | 0.0 | -7.3 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 0% | 1% | 48% | -23.8 | -4.1 | -4.3 | +32.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 97% | +8.0 | -1.7 | -2.3 | -4.0 |