Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/11 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +31.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 7,700 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +18.9 | -21.0 | -0.8 | +2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 38% | 14% | 24% | 24% | -10.0 | -2.4 | -3.0 | +15.3 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 29% | 13% | 22% | 35% | +27.2 | -22.8 | -0.1 | -4.4 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 9,600 | 52% | 4% | 17% | 27% | -9.1 | -7.6 | +25.8 | -9.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 40% | 2% | 36% | 21% | +24.4 | +0.6 | -25.9 | +1.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 70% | 2% | 11% | 17% | -1.4 | +1.2 | +6.9 | -6.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 71% | 1% | 15% | 12% | -14.6 | -3.9 | -7.7 | +26.2 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 52% | 1% | 13% | 33% | -5.3 | -6.3 | -4.8 | +16.4 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,100 | 39% | 0% | 8% | 53% | +6.8 | -0.4 | -6.6 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 0% | 1% | 50% | -22.6 | -4.1 | -4.7 | +31.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 97% | +7.9 | -1.6 | -2.1 | -4.2 |