Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/11 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +35.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.5 | -0.8 | -1.5 | +6.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 24% | 24% | 30% | +4.0 | +2.1 | -1.9 | -4.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 26% | 25% | 22% | 27% | -3.0 | +7.6 | -3.0 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 30% | 20% | 27% | -12.3 | +41.3 | -12.8 | -16.2 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Draw | 11% | 65% | 11% | 13% | -2.6 | +2.6 | +1.7 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 68% | 10% | 11% | -2.7 | -5.6 | +10.8 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 10% | 64% | 15% | 11% | +0.8 | -1.0 | +4.2 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 10% | 63% | 18% | 10% | +24.5 | -20.0 | -3.6 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 26% | 44% | 18% | 12% | +26.2 | -24.9 | +3.8 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 53% | 20% | 19% | 8% | +27.7 | +0.8 | -31.1 | +2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 82% | 11% | 3% | 4% | -7.0 | -7.2 | -7.2 | +21.4 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 78% | 9% | 3% | 10% | +10.6 | -11.4 | -0.8 | +1.6 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai | 92% | 1% | 2% | 6% | +0.8 | -5.4 | -7.4 | +12.0 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 93% | 0% | 0% | 7% | -3.9 | +0.2 | -14.2 | +17.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi | 83% | 0% | 0% | 17% | -35.4 | -0.2 | +0.3 | +35.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 15% | 0% | 0% | 85% | -11.6 | +0.8 | +6.0 | +4.7 |