Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/11 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +36.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -6.6 | -1.2 | -0.8 | +8.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 24% | 24% | 31% | +7.1 | +1.1 | -2.1 | -6.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -3.5 | +7.7 | -2.8 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 30% | 21% | 25% | -13.1 | +41.7 | -14.7 | -13.9 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 66% | 10% | 12% | -1.8 | +1.8 | +0.9 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 68% | 10% | 12% | -3.1 | -4.4 | +12.0 | -4.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 65% | 15% | 11% | +0.9 | -1.8 | +4.8 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 10% | 63% | 17% | 10% | +24.6 | -21.0 | -2.3 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 26% | 42% | 19% | 12% | +27.3 | -22.3 | -0.3 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 55% | 20% | 17% | 8% | +25.4 | -0.5 | -28.5 | +3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 81% | 11% | 3% | 5% | -6.0 | -6.5 | -8.4 | +20.9 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 78% | 9% | 3% | 10% | +10.7 | -12.6 | -1.0 | +2.9 |
| South 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara | 92% | 1% | 2% | 6% | +1.0 | -5.2 | -6.2 | +10.4 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 94% | 0% | 0% | 6% | -3.9 | +0.8 | -14.3 | +17.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani | 84% | 0% | 0% | 16% | -36.3 | -0.4 | +0.2 | +36.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 14% | 0% | 0% | 86% | -11.0 | +0.7 | +6.0 | +4.4 |