Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

12/11 Game 2

Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +35.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 2End● Ishibashi Nobuhiro● Uotani Yuumi● Maehara Yudai● Matsumoto Yoshihiro0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Ishibashi● Uotani● Maehara● Matsumoto
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultUotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Maehara Yudai
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Ishibashi Nobuhiro
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Maehara Yudai
Expected pt change
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Ishibashi Nobuhiro
Expected pt change
East 1Draw26%24%24%26%-4.5-0.8-1.5+6.7
East 2, 1 honbaDraw23%24%24%30%+4.0+2.1-1.9-4.2
East 2, 2 honbaDraw26%25%22%27%-3.0+7.6-3.0-1.6
East 2, 3 honbaMaehara Yudai tsumo 12,00024%30%20%27%-12.3+41.3-12.8-16.2
East 2, 4 honbaDraw11%65%11%13%-2.6+2.6+1.7-1.7
East 2, 5 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,00010%68%10%11%-2.7-5.6+10.8-2.4
East 3Draw10%64%15%11%+0.8-1.0+4.2-4.0
East 3, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai10%63%18%10%+24.5-20.0-3.6-0.9
East 4Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai26%44%18%12%+26.2-24.9+3.8-5.1
South 1Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro53%20%19%8%+27.7+0.8-31.1+2.5
South 1, 1 honbaIshibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,00082%11%3%4%-7.0-7.2-7.2+21.4
South 2Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai78%9%3%10%+10.6-11.4-0.8+1.6
South 3Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai92%1%2%6%+0.8-5.4-7.4+12.0
South 4Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro93%0%0%7%-3.9+0.2-14.2+17.8
South 4, 1 honbaIshibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi83%0%0%17%-35.4-0.2+0.3+35.3
South 4, 2 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi15%0%0%85%-11.6+0.8+6.0+4.7

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)