Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+73.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -5.8 | +6.5 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 30% | 23% | 25% | -10.6 | +31.9 | -11.3 | -10.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 13% | 57% | 14% | 16% | -9.6 | -0.3 | +11.1 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 10% | 57% | 18% | 16% | -19.3 | +1.5 | -1.4 | +19.2 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 58% | 15% | 23% | +3.1 | +0.8 | -1.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 4% | 61% | 14% | 21% | +19.0 | +2.2 | +2.2 | -23.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 64% | 16% | 10% | +4.9 | -2.4 | +0.2 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 11% | 63% | 16% | 10% | -7.2 | +10.6 | -1.9 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 4% | 76% | 13% | 7% | -9.4 | +2.1 | +9.6 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 83% | 12% | 4% | -2.3 | +9.6 | -4.6 | -2.7 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 96% | 1% | 3% | +7.6 | +10.1 | +3.0 | -20.7 |