Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+73.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -2.0 | +4.5 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% | -12.5 | +35.1 | -12.5 | -10.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 13% | 57% | 14% | 17% | -9.4 | +1.2 | +9.8 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 8% | 59% | 18% | 15% | -16.7 | -0.2 | -2.3 | +19.2 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 58% | 15% | 23% | +1.2 | +2.6 | +0.4 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 4% | 62% | 14% | 20% | +17.4 | +2.2 | +0.8 | -20.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 67% | 13% | 11% | +5.0 | -5.1 | +3.7 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 61% | 19% | 10% | -5.0 | +12.7 | -4.8 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 4% | 79% | 10% | 7% | -9.8 | +0.4 | +11.5 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 81% | 13% | 5% | -2.6 | +10.8 | -6.1 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 96% | 1% | 3% | +7.6 | +9.7 | +3.7 | -21.0 |