Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/13 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +29.5 | -11.7 | -8.8 | -9.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 48% | 17% | 17% | 18% | +27.2 | +1.0 | -26.9 | -1.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 12% | 5% | 11% | -9.8 | +21.6 | -4.9 | -6.9 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 62% | 23% | 4% | 11% | -1.3 | -14.9 | +26.0 | -9.8 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 64% | 15% | 12% | 8% | +2.3 | -9.0 | -2.7 | +9.4 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,600 from Sonoda Ken | 69% | 10% | 9% | 12% | -1.7 | +1.3 | +3.5 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 69% | 12% | 10% | 8% | +3.8 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori | 72% | 11% | 10% | 7% | +0.8 | +7.2 | -7.0 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 77% | 11% | 7% | 6% | +3.6 | -4.2 | +5.3 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 84% | 5% | 7% | 4% | -5.9 | -9.6 | +22.2 | -6.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 76% | 4% | 16% | 4% | -0.9 | +30.8 | -22.7 | -7.2 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 79% | 15% | 3% | 4% | +14.5 | -1.8 | -0.5 | -12.2 |