Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/13 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +29.4 | -9.1 | -10.4 | -9.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 48% | 17% | 18% | 17% | +25.6 | +2.4 | -26.8 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 71% | 13% | 5% | 11% | -9.4 | +18.4 | -5.6 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 23% | 4% | 12% | -2.8 | -14.8 | +27.9 | -10.3 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 62% | 16% | 12% | 10% | +4.4 | -7.4 | -5.4 | +8.4 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,600 from Ken Sonoda | 69% | 11% | 8% | 12% | -0.2 | -1.2 | +6.5 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 71% | 12% | 10% | 7% | +3.4 | +2.1 | -3.1 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,300 from Kazunori Takizawa | 75% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 0.0 | +7.8 | -6.1 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 77% | 12% | 6% | 5% | +2.4 | -5.7 | +6.3 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 83% | 5% | 6% | 5% | -6.2 | -10.1 | +22.8 | -6.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 75% | 4% | 17% | 5% | +1.0 | +30.6 | -22.6 | -9.0 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 81% | 14% | 2% | 3% | +13.6 | -1.3 | -1.1 | -11.2 |