Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/14 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+51.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +48.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 27% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -2.7 | +7.7 | +0.7 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 29% | 25% | 23% | -5.0 | -14.7 | +25.2 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 5,200 | 19% | 19% | 44% | 18% | +16.4 | -4.2 | -8.7 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 16% | 36% | 18% | -2.1 | +8.4 | +1.5 | -7.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 30% | 21% | 38% | 12% | -24.2 | -3.9 | +3.6 | +24.6 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,200 from Sho Shiratori | 13% | 18% | 43% | 26% | -2.2 | -3.2 | -12.7 | +18.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 15% | 29% | 42% | +1.5 | +7.4 | -5.2 | -3.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 21% | 24% | 38% | -22.1 | -13.0 | +48.1 | -13.0 |