Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/14 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+51.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -2.5 | +3.3 | +0.2 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 24% | 27% | 24% | 26% | +2.7 | -10.2 | -3.2 | +10.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 24% | 20% | 22% | 34% | -2.4 | -4.0 | +8.0 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 17% | 28% | 33% | +4.9 | -1.7 | -6.0 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 17% | 22% | 34% | -8.2 | +31.8 | -8.1 | -15.5 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 21% | 41% | 16% | 22% | -2.1 | -6.4 | +9.0 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 19% | 35% | 23% | 24% | -1.5 | -4.5 | +35.8 | -29.8 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 12% | 24% | 57% | 7% | +0.3 | -16.7 | +7.9 | +8.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 9% | 7% | 74% | 10% | +7.0 | -6.0 | -5.9 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 9% | 63% | 14% | -14.8 | +20.0 | +15.7 | -20.8 |