Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/17 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+56.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +41.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -1.5 | -33.4 | +35.7 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 8% | 51% | 21% | -6.2 | -9.3 | +19.4 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 6,400 from Takaharu Ooi | 11% | 3% | 72% | 14% | -14.5 | -1.8 | -2.7 | +19.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 2% | 68% | 24% | +3.4 | -3.1 | -2.1 | +1.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 8% | 2% | 66% | 24% | -3.0 | +19.3 | -20.4 | +4.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 8% | 46% | 36% | +1.1 | +4.1 | -2.6 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 10% | 44% | 35% | +6.6 | -3.2 | -1.4 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 14% | 10% | 42% | 34% | -9.6 | -3.8 | +15.9 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 6% | 62% | 27% | +14.2 | -12.8 | +1.4 | -2.8 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 10% | 1% | 67% | 23% | -8.6 | +2.8 | +4.8 | +0.9 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 3% | 0% | 80% | 17% | -28.5 | +11.0 | -24.1 | +41.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 81% | +23.7 | -17.7 | -8.7 | +2.7 |