Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/17 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+56.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +40.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 26% | 24% | 27% | 24% | -2.5 | -29.4 | +30.7 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 9% | 49% | 22% | -5.2 | -11.0 | +20.5 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 6,400 from Ooi Takaharu | 12% | 3% | 70% | 15% | -14.8 | -1.1 | -0.4 | +16.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 6% | 2% | 70% | 21% | +1.9 | -3.4 | -3.6 | +5.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 6% | 2% | 64% | 27% | -2.6 | +18.8 | -17.5 | +1.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 9% | 7% | 49% | 35% | +3.5 | +3.7 | -4.9 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 10% | 44% | 34% | +6.0 | -0.6 | -2.8 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 15% | 10% | 42% | 33% | -11.5 | -5.6 | +17.2 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 6% | 62% | 27% | +14.1 | -11.6 | +1.3 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 8% | 1% | 67% | 23% | -7.9 | +1.9 | +4.1 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 4% | 0% | 79% | 17% | -28.9 | +11.1 | -22.8 | +40.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 80% | +24.1 | -17.8 | -9.3 | +3.0 |