Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/17 Game 2
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+78.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +25.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,500 from Maehara Yudai | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +3.3 | -1.2 | +2.2 | -4.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 27% | 24% | 26% | 22% | -1.6 | +1.3 | -22.6 | +22.9 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 24% | 23% | 13% | 39% | +0.3 | -2.4 | -18.6 | +20.7 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 17% | 5% | 58% | -7.5 | -6.3 | -12.0 | +25.8 |
| East 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 8% | 6% | 2% | 84% | +0.3 | -1.1 | -3.5 | +4.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 6% | 1% | 87% | +12.7 | -4.8 | -3.2 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 4% | 1% | 85% | +13.8 | -5.7 | -2.9 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai | 21% | 3% | 0% | 76% | -1.7 | +5.1 | -0.2 | -3.3 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 19% | 5% | 1% | 76% | -24.4 | -0.3 | +16.1 | +8.6 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 95% | +7.6 | -3.0 | -6.2 | +1.5 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +0.5 | +0.6 | -13.5 | +12.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -25.5 | +26.0 | +0.4 | -0.9 |