Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/17 Game 2
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+78.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Yudai Maehara | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +1.7 | +1.8 | +1.5 | -5.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -0.1 | -1.1 | -21.7 | +22.9 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 26% | 23% | 13% | 38% | -1.6 | -1.9 | -16.4 | +19.9 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 17% | 7% | 57% | -7.9 | -7.3 | -13.2 | +28.4 |
| East 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 7% | 6% | 1% | 86% | +0.9 | -2.0 | -2.7 | +3.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 5% | 1% | 88% | +13.3 | -2.5 | -4.8 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 4% | 1% | 84% | +12.3 | -5.9 | -1.2 | -5.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara | 20% | 4% | 1% | 75% | -1.8 | +4.6 | -1.6 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 18% | 4% | 1% | 78% | -23.6 | +0.2 | +15.7 | +7.8 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 1% | 1% | 96% | +7.3 | -2.7 | -5.7 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +0.3 | +0.4 | -13.2 | +12.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -25.2 | +25.9 | +0.4 | -1.1 |