Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/18 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+81.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Suzuki Taro tsumo 16,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +41.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -23.7 | -8.9 | +41.1 | -8.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 10% | 15% | 59% | 16% | -1.3 | +6.4 | -2.6 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 18% | 57% | 15% | -4.4 | -11.2 | +20.4 | -4.8 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 4% | 7% | 79% | 10% | -0.7 | +1.2 | -7.0 | +6.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 6% | 9% | 74% | 12% | -0.6 | -3.1 | -2.2 | +5.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,500 from Suzuki Taro | 6% | 8% | 71% | 15% | -1.7 | -2.2 | -3.7 | +7.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 7% | 66% | 20% | -9.5 | +37.6 | -5.2 | -23.0 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,700 | 3% | 28% | 60% | 8% | -7.7 | -0.5 | +0.6 | +7.6 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 27% | 62% | 10% | -2.2 | -14.8 | +21.3 | -4.4 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 4% | 91% | 5% | +4.9 | +1.7 | +16.5 | -23.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +2.9 | +1.4 | +4.2 | -8.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -0.8 | -1.8 | +2.4 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.8 | +9.5 | -4.2 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +13.1 | -1.2 | -1.3 | -10.6 |