Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/18 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+78.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +30.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +3.2 | +5.9 | -1.8 | -7.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 26% | 29% | 24% | 22% | +14.0 | -4.4 | -8.5 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,200 from Ken Sonoda | 36% | 24% | 20% | 20% | -0.6 | -9.6 | -0.5 | +10.7 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 37% | 19% | 19% | 26% | -3.8 | -11.2 | -1.9 | +16.9 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 11% | 18% | 39% | -3.5 | +24.3 | -14.1 | -6.7 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 29% | 26% | 10% | 34% | -3.5 | -2.1 | -24.5 | +30.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 18% | 2% | 60% | -5.4 | -2.7 | +14.5 | -6.4 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 19% | 6% | 57% | +11.1 | -11.2 | +1.2 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 12% | 6% | 55% | -9.2 | -3.5 | -3.7 | +16.3 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 18,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 12% | 7% | 4% | 77% | -7.7 | +44.2 | -27.0 | -9.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 9,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 8% | 36% | 1% | 56% | -3.1 | +23.6 | -11.1 | -9.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 4% | 61% | 0% | 34% | -0.8 | +9.6 | -4.6 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 2% | 73% | 0% | 24% | -17.1 | -12.7 | 0.0 | +29.7 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 42% | 0% | 58% | +0.2 | -8.1 | -1.7 | +9.6 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 22% | 0% | 78% | -2.9 | -3.1 | 0.0 | +6.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 14% | 0% | 86% | +0.2 | -5.1 | +0.6 | +4.4 |