Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/18 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+78.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | +3.5 | 0.0 | +1.6 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 28% | 25% | 25% | 22% | +11.3 | -1.3 | -8.2 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,200 from Sonoda Ken | 35% | 25% | 21% | 20% | -0.4 | -8.9 | -0.2 | +9.5 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 36% | 19% | 20% | 25% | -1.9 | -9.2 | -3.5 | +14.6 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 13% | 18% | 36% | -4.3 | +21.5 | -12.3 | -4.9 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 31% | 25% | 12% | 32% | -3.4 | -3.4 | -26.1 | +32.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 16% | 2% | 62% | -3.0 | -2.9 | +15.4 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 21% | 17% | 6% | 56% | +8.0 | -8.7 | 0.0 | +0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 12% | 6% | 55% | -9.8 | -1.7 | -3.1 | +14.6 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 18,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 12% | 8% | 4% | 76% | -6.5 | +41.5 | -27.8 | -7.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 9,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 8% | 34% | 1% | 57% | -3.0 | +24.5 | -10.7 | -10.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 4% | 62% | 0% | 33% | -0.5 | +10.8 | -4.4 | -6.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 3% | 76% | 0% | 22% | -17.7 | -14.3 | +0.7 | +31.3 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 42% | 0% | 58% | +0.2 | -6.4 | -2.4 | +8.6 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 26% | 0% | 75% | -2.7 | -3.9 | 0.0 | +6.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 15% | 0% | 85% | 0.0 | -5.8 | +0.6 | +5.2 |