Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/20 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +49.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -9.7 | -4.1 | -2.8 | +16.6 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 19% | 21% | 24% | 36% | -29.2 | +32.3 | -1.4 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 42% | 20% | 32% | -4.7 | -19.5 | -9.7 | +34.0 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 20% | 11% | 66% | -8.1 | -10.2 | +28.4 | -10.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 16% | 27% | 54% | -1.8 | -0.6 | -2.8 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 14% | 24% | 60% | +9.6 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 14% | 23% | 59% | +29.4 | -12.4 | -9.0 | -8.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 12% | 22% | 52% | -15.3 | +28.9 | -8.3 | -5.3 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 7% | 31% | 16% | 47% | -10.7 | -0.7 | +8.5 | +2.9 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 26% | 20% | 51% | +11.8 | -3.0 | -15.0 | +6.2 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 19% | 9% | 64% | -15.6 | +49.4 | -4.0 | -29.8 |