Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

12/20 Game 2

Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 1: Maehara Yudai ron 18,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +48.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance	Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance	Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance	Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance	Maehara Yudai Expected pt change	Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change	Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change	Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change
East 1	Maehara Yudai ron 3,400 from Kondo Seiichi	25%	25%	24%	26%	+9.4	-0.7	+1.2	-9.8
East 1, 1 honba	Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi	31%	25%	25%	20%	-3.3	+20.9	+1.5	-19.1
East 2	Setokuma Naoki ron 7,700 from Maehara Yudai	27%	39%	24%	11%	-22.6	+21.6	-0.4	+1.3
East 2, 1 honba	Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000	11%	60%	21%	9%	+14.0	-4.6	-4.5	-5.0
East 3	Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi	19%	56%	17%	8%	-2.9	+26.3	-3.2	-20.2
East 4	Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000	8%	83%	7%	2%	-6.9	-3.4	+21.1	-10.7
South 1	Maehara Yudai ron 18,000 from Setokuma Naoki	5%	78%	16%	0%	+48.7	-48.1	-0.1	-0.5
South 1, 1 honba	Maehara Yudai ron 7,700 from Kondo Seiichi	51%	24%	25%	1%	+17.8	-6.3	-3.2	-8.3
South 1, 2 honba	Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai	69%	14%	17%	0%	-6.5	+3.0	-1.2	+4.7
South 2	Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000	65%	17%	18%	0%	+4.9	-11.5	-1.9	+8.5
South 3	Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro	78%	6%	15%	1%	+4.6	+15.7	-21.1	+0.9
South 4	Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000	88%	10%	1%	1%	-7.3	-12.2	-11.4	+30.8
South 4, 1 honba	Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,000	86%	6%	1%	7%	+8.5	+4.2	+3.5	-16.2

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)