Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/20 Game 2
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yudai Maehara ron 18,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +48.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 3,400 from Seiichi Kondo | 23% | 26% | 23% | 28% | +10.8 | -0.2 | +1.6 | -12.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 32% | 25% | 24% | 20% | -0.8 | +19.7 | +0.6 | -19.5 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 7,700 from Yudai Maehara | 29% | 38% | 24% | 9% | -22.8 | +22.6 | -1.5 | +1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 60% | 20% | 8% | +9.7 | -4.3 | -3.1 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 17% | 57% | 18% | 9% | -0.5 | +25.8 | -2.5 | -22.8 |
| East 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 82% | 7% | 2% | -6.3 | -4.3 | +19.9 | -9.3 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 18,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 7% | 77% | 16% | 0% | +48.6 | -47.3 | +0.2 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 7,700 from Seiichi Kondo | 50% | 24% | 25% | 0% | +18.5 | -5.9 | -3.5 | -9.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara | 71% | 13% | 16% | 0% | -5.5 | +0.8 | 0.0 | +4.7 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 15% | 17% | 0% | +2.9 | -8.5 | -3.9 | +9.5 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 3,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 78% | 7% | 14% | 1% | +5.3 | +14.4 | -19.6 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 18,000 | 89% | 9% | 1% | 1% | -7.5 | -11.9 | -12.3 | +31.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000 | 86% | 6% | 1% | 7% | +8.4 | +3.9 | +4.2 | -16.6 |