Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/21 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +26.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 26% | 23% | -10.7 | +24.8 | -6.9 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 16% | 43% | 21% | 19% | -4.0 | -1.2 | +0.4 | +4.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 44% | 21% | 22% | -3.4 | -4.2 | +3.6 | +4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 13% | 40% | 23% | 23% | +0.3 | -34.7 | +34.8 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 18,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 12% | 13% | 53% | 22% | +1.7 | -38.9 | +36.3 | +0.8 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 1% | 83% | 11% | -1.3 | +5.3 | -0.3 | -3.6 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 1% | 86% | 9% | -7.6 | +17.9 | -0.9 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 3% | 3% | 89% | 5% | -1.2 | -26.5 | +0.7 | +26.9 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 88% | 11% | -0.9 | -4.7 | -2.4 | +8.1 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 86% | 14% | -2.3 | +7.7 | -3.5 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 88% | 12% | -2.2 | -3.0 | -8.6 | +13.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 72% | 27% | -1.9 | -0.3 | -9.5 | +11.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | +13.4 | -2.4 | -29.5 | +18.6 |