Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/21 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -11.3 | +21.5 | -4.0 | -6.2 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 17% | 42% | 21% | 21% | -1.3 | -0.9 | +0.5 | +1.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 40% | 22% | 22% | -4.1 | -2.6 | +1.7 | +5.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 15% | 38% | 23% | 25% | +0.2 | -35.0 | +35.3 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 12% | 14% | 51% | 23% | +2.0 | -37.1 | +38.5 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 1% | 86% | 9% | -2.8 | +3.8 | -1.9 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 1% | 87% | 9% | -7.0 | +17.7 | +0.9 | -11.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 3% | 2% | 91% | 4% | -2.2 | -25.3 | -1.9 | +29.3 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 1% | 87% | 12% | -0.3 | -5.0 | -0.3 | +5.6 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 88% | 12% | -2.7 | +7.8 | -4.8 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 87% | 12% | -2.4 | -2.8 | -9.1 | +14.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 71% | 28% | -1.0 | -0.7 | -9.2 | +10.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | +12.9 | -2.3 | -29.3 | +18.7 |