Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/21 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | +10.7 | -2.0 | -4.6 | -4.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 32% | 23% | 23% | 23% | -8.0 | +17.3 | -2.1 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 35% | 23% | 18% | -1.4 | -4.2 | -2.9 | +8.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 32% | 20% | 24% | -0.6 | +26.2 | -1.8 | -23.7 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 20% | 56% | 14% | 10% | +0.5 | +14.2 | -10.8 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 16,000 | 16% | 73% | 7% | 5% | -25.8 | -8.3 | -11.2 | +45.3 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 4% | 63% | 5% | 28% | -0.1 | +0.8 | -2.0 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 68% | 4% | 25% | +1.2 | +2.4 | -6.8 | +3.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 74% | 0% | 25% | +1.7 | +14.6 | -6.2 | -10.1 |