Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/21 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +9.7 | -0.7 | -3.4 | -5.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 31% | 23% | 23% | 22% | -8.1 | +17.4 | -3.0 | -6.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 25% | 35% | 21% | 18% | -2.8 | -2.8 | -3.7 | +9.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 23% | 34% | 19% | 24% | +1.7 | +26.2 | -4.1 | -23.8 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 19% | 59% | 12% | 10% | -0.6 | +13.0 | -7.3 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 16,000 | 15% | 74% | 7% | 5% | -25.1 | -9.3 | -12.7 | +47.0 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 4% | 63% | 5% | 28% | -1.5 | +0.4 | -0.6 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 66% | 4% | 27% | +3.6 | +3.7 | -8.1 | +0.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 2% | 75% | 0% | 23% | +0.8 | +14.2 | -5.8 | -9.2 |