Game · 2021-22 Finals
4/18 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+78.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 3,900 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +9.3 | -0.6 | -5.4 | -3.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 24% | 22% | 22% | +31.1 | -11.6 | -8.4 | -11.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 58% | 15% | 14% | 14% | -3.0 | -22.2 | +0.6 | +24.6 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 4,000 | 53% | 7% | 14% | 26% | -1.6 | -6.9 | -2.8 | +11.3 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 51% | 3% | 12% | 34% | +2.3 | -3.3 | -4.6 | +5.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 53% | 3% | 7% | 37% | -4.1 | -3.3 | +5.8 | +1.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 48% | 2% | 11% | 40% | -0.8 | -2.6 | +7.0 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 48% | 2% | 12% | 37% | -3.3 | -1.2 | -3.5 | +8.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 2% | 10% | 46% | -17.8 | -11.6 | -7.4 | +36.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 5% | 0% | 3% | 92% | -4.5 | +1.6 | +3.1 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 0% | 3% | 93% | -1.0 | -2.4 | -9.3 | +12.6 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 3,200 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +5.4 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -3.8 |