Game · 2021-22 Final Series
4/18 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+78.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 3,900 | 24% | 27% | 23% | 26% | +9.6 | -6.9 | +0.1 | -2.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 21% | 23% | 25% | +30.9 | -8.5 | -11.5 | -11.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 57% | 15% | 13% | 14% | -1.2 | -20.7 | -0.8 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 4,000 | 55% | 7% | 12% | 26% | -0.4 | -9.0 | -2.6 | +12.0 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 54% | 4% | 10% | 33% | +0.9 | -3.0 | -2.4 | +4.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 2% | 7% | 37% | -5.2 | -1.5 | +4.1 | +2.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 3% | 9% | 41% | +0.1 | -3.3 | +6.6 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 2% | 11% | 38% | -4.7 | -1.4 | -1.4 | +7.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 2% | 10% | 46% | -17.7 | -11.7 | -6.4 | +35.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 0% | 3% | 92% | -4.5 | +1.1 | +1.9 | +1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 94% | -0.1 | -2.1 | -9.2 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 3,200 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -3.6 |