Game · 2021-22 Final Series
4/18 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +25.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -25.4 | +0.1 | +25.8 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 22% | 44% | 23% | +0.9 | +4.8 | -3.6 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 25% | 40% | 23% | -3.4 | -0.9 | +3.4 | +0.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Aiko Hinata | 9% | 23% | 43% | 24% | +1.4 | -0.8 | +8.3 | -9.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 22% | 52% | 18% | +3.0 | +4.4 | -2.4 | -5.0 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 26% | 50% | 14% | +29.8 | -7.6 | -5.4 | -16.7 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 27% | 19% | 46% | 8% | -31.3 | -1.3 | +5.5 | +27.0 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 19% | 53% | 20% | -7.2 | -12.8 | +25.5 | -5.5 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,600 from Mari Takamiya | 1% | 3% | 88% | 8% | -10.5 | +11.9 | +0.9 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 92% | 7% | -2.9 | +8.9 | +2.4 | -8.5 |