Game · 2021-22 Finals
4/18 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +26.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -26.0 | +3.9 | +23.5 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 10% | 25% | 42% | 23% | 0.0 | +4.2 | -3.0 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 28% | 40% | 22% | -1.7 | -2.4 | +2.7 | +1.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Hinata Aiko | 9% | 25% | 43% | 23% | +0.5 | -1.6 | +11.1 | -10.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 8% | 22% | 54% | 17% | +2.9 | +4.0 | -4.5 | -2.4 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 26% | 49% | 16% | +27.9 | -7.7 | -3.1 | -17.1 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 20% | 48% | 8% | -30.6 | +1.6 | +3.9 | +25.1 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 20% | 53% | 20% | -5.2 | -15.5 | +26.0 | -5.4 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 1% | 3% | 88% | 8% | -10.6 | +10.7 | +0.7 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 92% | 7% | -3.3 | +9.9 | +2.5 | -9.2 |