Game · 2021-22 Final Series
4/19 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+71.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +43.8 | -14.7 | -14.2 | -14.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 13% | 14% | 13% | -16.7 | -7.0 | +32.2 | -8.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 11% | 35% | 10% | -3.9 | +6.1 | -1.4 | -0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 13% | 35% | 10% | +18.7 | -10.1 | -6.3 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 59% | 7% | 25% | 8% | +16.4 | -0.5 | -15.8 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 79% | 5% | 10% | 6% | +13.2 | -15.6 | +2.2 | +0.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 1% | 5% | 3% | -1.1 | +3.7 | -1.8 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 2% | 5% | 2% | -1.1 | +4.9 | -0.4 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 92% | 2% | 5% | 2% | +1.2 | -14.2 | +13.1 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,500 from Sho Shiratori | 94% | 0% | 5% | 2% | -2.3 | -0.1 | +3.3 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 0% | 7% | 1% | -12.7 | -4.9 | +22.7 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 71% | 0% | 29% | 1% | +11.5 | -2.9 | -10.5 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 91% | 0% | 9% | 1% | +2.2 | -1.4 | -2.5 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 93% | 0% | 6% | 1% | +2.1 | -0.8 | +0.2 | -1.5 |