Game · 2021-22 Finals
4/19 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+71.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +46.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 25% | 27% | 25% | +46.0 | -14.9 | -16.6 | -14.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 62% | 13% | 13% | 13% | -17.7 | -8.3 | +32.7 | -6.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 44% | 10% | 34% | 12% | -3.2 | +6.8 | -1.0 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 13% | 34% | 11% | +17.7 | -7.0 | -7.5 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 60% | 8% | 24% | 9% | +15.6 | -2.8 | -14.7 | +1.9 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 78% | 4% | 10% | 7% | +14.5 | -14.8 | +2.1 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 92% | 1% | 5% | 2% | -1.4 | +2.0 | +0.5 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 93% | 1% | 5% | 2% | -1.0 | +6.8 | -2.7 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 92% | 2% | 5% | 2% | +1.0 | -15.5 | +13.5 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,500 from Shiratori Sho | 94% | 0% | 5% | 1% | -2.3 | 0.0 | +2.7 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 0% | 7% | 1% | -13.3 | -4.3 | +23.7 | -6.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 70% | 0% | 29% | 1% | +11.0 | -2.7 | -10.3 | +2.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 90% | 0% | 10% | 1% | +3.9 | -1.4 | -3.4 | +1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 95% | 0% | 4% | 0% | +1.2 | -1.4 | +0.7 | -0.4 |