Game · 2021-22 Final Series
4/21 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -5.4 | +6.8 | -1.9 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 30% | 23% | 27% | +36.8 | -19.1 | -7.8 | -9.9 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 50% | 15% | 17% | 17% | -0.4 | +14.8 | -14.3 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,500 | 50% | 23% | 10% | 17% | +10.4 | -2.3 | -2.0 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 4,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 63% | 19% | 8% | 10% | +12.1 | -0.6 | -12.9 | +1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 75% | 14% | 4% | 8% | -10.5 | +35.1 | +2.6 | -27.3 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 55% | 41% | 3% | 2% | +5.2 | -5.9 | -14.4 | +15.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 65% | 31% | 1% | 3% | -4.9 | +3.6 | +2.5 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 57% | 39% | 2% | 3% | +14.2 | -9.5 | -5.3 | +0.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 82% | 16% | 0% | 2% | +3.9 | -6.2 | +1.2 | +1.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 89% | 9% | 0% | 2% | +4.4 | +6.4 | +18.2 | -29.0 |