Game · 2021-22 Final Series
4/21 Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 25% | 27% | 24% | +7.3 | -0.2 | -3.6 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 29% | 25% | 24% | 22% | +31.9 | -30.8 | -1.4 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 8% | 18% | 19% | -13.5 | +19.4 | -4.9 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 5,200 | 43% | 16% | 19% | 21% | +14.2 | -8.6 | -1.6 | -4.0 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 10% | 15% | 17% | -2.8 | +26.0 | -12.9 | -10.2 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 55% | 23% | 10% | 12% | +13.3 | -4.1 | -3.0 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 71% | 16% | 7% | 7% | -0.3 | -1.7 | -3.5 | +5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 73% | 14% | 5% | 8% | +2.9 | -42.7 | +40.4 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 78% | 0% | 16% | 5% | +5.4 | -2.5 | -29.5 | +26.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 0% | 0% | 10% | -2.0 | -0.1 | -1.8 | +3.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 0% | 1% | 13% | +12.5 | -5.5 | -2.0 | -5.0 |