Game · 2021-22 Finals
4/21 Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +31.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +5.2 | -3.9 | -0.4 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 29% | 23% | 24% | 24% | +31.6 | -29.7 | -0.9 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 8% | 20% | 19% | -12.3 | +19.2 | -3.7 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 5,200 | 43% | 16% | 21% | 20% | +14.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 11% | 15% | 16% | -1.4 | +23.5 | -13.7 | -8.4 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 57% | 22% | 8% | 13% | +10.9 | -1.6 | -1.4 | -7.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 70% | 17% | 6% | 7% | +1.5 | -3.4 | -2.7 | +4.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 75% | 14% | 5% | 6% | +1.1 | -41.2 | +39.3 | +0.8 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 77% | 1% | 16% | 7% | +6.1 | -3.0 | -28.3 | +25.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 90% | 0% | 1% | 10% | -2.2 | -0.7 | -2.2 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 0% | 1% | 13% | +12.7 | -5.2 | -1.8 | -5.7 |