Game · 2021-22 Finals
4/22 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +28.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +14.9 | +0.7 | -13.2 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 35% | 25% | 16% | 24% | -2.2 | -1.1 | +4.3 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 33% | 25% | 19% | 23% | -2.3 | +14.7 | -0.6 | -11.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 31% | 35% | 17% | 18% | +2.3 | 0.0 | -11.4 | +9.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 33% | 34% | 12% | 21% | +1.3 | -1.7 | -6.4 | +6.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 6,000 | 34% | 32% | 9% | 26% | -9.5 | -8.0 | -4.9 | +22.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 25% | 24% | 7% | 43% | +28.2 | -26.1 | +1.5 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 50% | 9% | 6% | 35% | +0.1 | +12.3 | -12.1 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 51% | 12% | 3% | 34% | +1.8 | -5.5 | -5.4 | +9.1 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,000 | 51% | 6% | 2% | 42% | -2.8 | -1.2 | +4.6 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 48% | 6% | 3% | 43% | +1.7 | +2.5 | -5.9 | +1.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 51% | 5% | 0% | 44% | +5.7 | +0.8 | -3.1 | -3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 6% | 0% | 33% | +18.4 | -3.4 | +0.2 | -15.2 |