Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Finals

4/22 Game 2

Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +34.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Uotani Yuumi● Sasaki Hisato● Uchikawa Kotaro● Ooi Takaharu0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Uotani● Sasaki● Uchikawa● Ooi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultUotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%25%25%24%-4.4-1.5+7.7-1.8
East 2, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi tsumo 1,10022%24%30%24%+6.8-4.8-1.2-0.9
East 3Draw27%21%29%24%-3.5+2.6+4.6-3.7
East 3, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi23%22%33%22%-22.7+25.4-2.2-0.5
East 4Uotani Yuumi tsumo 6,40011%42%28%20%+16.9-2.6-1.3-13.0
South 1Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,00019%40%28%12%-16.0+28.3-9.3-3.0
South 2Draw5%73%14%8%-2.9+1.2-3.3+5.0
South 2, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi tsumo 8,0004%75%13%8%+28.9-9.4-9.1-10.3
South 3Draw17%65%10%7%-2.1-1.1+6.1-2.9
South 3, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu16%64%13%7%+34.7-10.2-7.8-16.7
South 4Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato57%38%3%3%+19.5-14.0-0.3-5.2

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)