Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Final Series

4/22 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +34.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Hisato Sasaki● Kotaro Uchikawa● Takaharu Ooi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yuumi● Hisato● Kotaro● Takaharu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw25%24%25%26%-4.0-0.3+6.2-2.0
East 2, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 1,10022%25%29%25%+8.4-5.2-2.2-1.1
East 3Exhaustive draw28%21%27%25%-3.7+1.1+5.1-2.5
East 3, 1 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani25%20%32%23%-23.7+28.4-2.8-1.9
East 4Yuumi Uotani tsumo 6,40011%43%26%20%+15.7-2.2-2.3-11.1
South 1Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,00019%42%25%14%-14.9+27.4-5.4-7.1
South 2Exhaustive draw5%74%15%6%-3.3+1.8-4.5+6.0
South 2, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 8,0003%76%12%9%+30.8-11.0-9.4-10.4
South 3Exhaustive draw19%66%9%7%-2.4-2.4+6.7-1.9
South 3, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi18%62%14%6%+34.0-8.7-8.1-17.2
South 4Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki57%38%3%2%+19.1-14.2-0.1-4.9

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)