Game · 2021-22 Final Series
4/25 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -6.2 | +2.4 | +4.5 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 27% | 29% | 25% | +21.6 | -8.0 | -9.5 | -4.0 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 36% | 21% | 21% | 22% | +24.6 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -21.2 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 16% | 15% | 9% | -10.0 | -12.1 | -10.8 | +32.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 11% | 12% | 27% | +23.8 | -3.5 | -3.3 | -16.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 77% | 7% | 7% | 9% | +2.3 | +1.9 | -7.9 | +3.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 79% | 6% | 5% | 10% | +1.0 | +10.2 | -0.8 | -10.4 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 83% | 8% | 4% | 5% | -13.3 | +33.7 | -10.1 | -10.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 63% | 31% | 3% | 4% | -11.3 | +19.7 | -3.7 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 40% | 56% | 2% | 3% | -4.9 | +5.0 | -1.8 | +1.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 32% | 63% | 2% | 3% | -0.1 | -0.1 | +13.3 | -13.1 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 66% | 3% | 2% | -8.3 | -5.6 | +23.7 | -9.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 64% | 9% | 2% | -4.3 | +22.1 | -18.6 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 93% | 0% | 1% | -1.6 | -0.9 | -2.4 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000 | 5% | 94% | 0% | 1% | -12.5 | -9.0 | -22.5 | +44.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 6,000 | 4% | 87% | 0% | 9% | -12.1 | -7.0 | -2.8 | +21.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 4% | 77% | 0% | 20% | -4.6 | +12.4 | +0.4 | -8.3 |