Game · 2021-22 Finals
4/25 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +31.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -3.1 | +5.3 | +2.1 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 30% | 26% | 24% | +18.1 | -11.2 | -5.4 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 35% | 20% | 22% | 23% | +26.8 | -2.3 | -3.0 | -21.6 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 14% | 15% | 10% | -11.9 | -10.7 | -10.0 | +32.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 12% | 12% | 27% | +26.5 | -2.4 | -5.0 | -19.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 79% | 7% | 6% | 8% | +0.7 | +2.7 | -7.1 | +3.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 79% | 8% | 5% | 8% | +0.9 | +9.1 | -2.1 | -7.9 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 83% | 8% | 3% | 6% | -12.1 | +31.8 | -9.3 | -10.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 64% | 29% | 3% | 4% | -12.7 | +21.1 | -2.9 | -5.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 39% | 56% | 2% | 3% | -3.9 | +4.3 | -2.8 | +2.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 32% | 63% | 2% | 4% | -1.0 | +0.5 | +13.9 | -13.5 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 67% | 3% | 2% | -7.2 | -6.1 | +22.2 | -8.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 27% | 63% | 9% | 2% | -5.3 | +23.0 | -18.0 | +0.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 5% | 94% | 0% | 1% | -0.8 | -1.5 | -1.9 | +4.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 18,000 | 5% | 94% | 0% | 1% | -12.5 | -9.0 | -23.4 | +44.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 6,000 | 4% | 87% | 0% | 9% | -12.5 | -7.1 | -2.3 | +21.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 3% | 77% | 0% | 20% | -4.5 | +12.6 | +0.4 | -8.5 |