Game · 2021-22 Finals
4/25 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +37.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.4 | +0.9 | +22.8 | -19.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 24% | 42% | 14% | -0.5 | -7.3 | +0.8 | +7.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 19% | 43% | 17% | -4.0 | +10.5 | -2.3 | -4.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 18% | 25% | 41% | 16% | +5.3 | +3.0 | -9.9 | +1.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 23% | 28% | 33% | 16% | +6.7 | -3.1 | +0.1 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 27% | 27% | 32% | 14% | -14.0 | 0.0 | +0.6 | +13.4 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 28% | 34% | 22% | -32.6 | +37.5 | -4.4 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 63% | 21% | 14% | -3.5 | -1.6 | -1.5 | +6.7 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 64% | 18% | 17% | -5.1 | +23.5 | -10.7 | -7.7 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 1,600 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 94% | 1% | 5% | -2.8 | +4.3 | -1.6 | +0.1 |