Game · 2021-22 Final Series
4/25 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +37.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -2.8 | +0.5 | +24.0 | -21.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 25% | 43% | 13% | +0.8 | -4.2 | -1.6 | +5.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 21% | 42% | 16% | -3.1 | +5.5 | -0.2 | -2.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 24% | 42% | 15% | +3.1 | +4.4 | -9.6 | +2.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 28% | 33% | 17% | +8.9 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -5.8 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 28% | 27% | 32% | 14% | -14.2 | -2.0 | +0.6 | +15.6 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 19% | 27% | 33% | 22% | -33.9 | +37.9 | -2.6 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 62% | 23% | 13% | -3.2 | -0.3 | -2.4 | +5.9 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 65% | 18% | 17% | -4.9 | +22.5 | -11.2 | -6.4 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 1,600 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 94% | 0% | 6% | -3.0 | +4.6 | -1.5 | -0.1 |