Game · 2021-22 Finals
4/26 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +44.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +44.0 | -13.6 | -15.8 | -14.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 7,800 | 61% | 13% | 13% | 13% | +16.1 | -5.6 | -5.3 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 77% | 8% | 7% | 8% | +19.2 | -5.9 | -5.6 | -7.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori | 91% | 3% | 3% | 3% | -4.0 | +2.8 | -0.1 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 89% | 4% | 4% | 3% | -1.9 | +3.9 | +0.7 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 88% | 5% | 4% | 3% | -5.5 | +10.0 | -2.4 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 84% | 8% | 4% | 4% | -0.4 | -10.0 | -1.2 | +11.7 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 4% | 4% | 6% | +0.5 | +9.2 | -9.6 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 88% | 5% | 2% | 5% | -1.1 | -0.2 | -1.8 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 16,000 | 86% | 6% | 2% | 6% | -5.5 | -10.7 | +40.4 | -24.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 84% | 5% | 9% | 2% | -1.6 | +4.7 | -0.7 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,000 | 85% | 6% | 8% | 2% | -2.4 | +12.2 | -5.2 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 83% | 8% | 7% | 2% | -0.1 | -20.3 | -8.8 | +29.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 88% | 1% | 6% | 5% | +2.4 | +11.4 | -4.8 | -9.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 6,000 | 94% | 1% | 0% | 5% | -4.5 | -13.8 | -13.1 | +31.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 7,700 from Ooi Takaharu | 90% | 0% | 0% | 9% | -3.5 | -20.4 | +7.1 | +16.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 80% | 0% | 0% | 20% | +7.8 | -3.7 | +5.0 | -9.2 |