Game · 2021-22 Final Series
4/26 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +44.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +44.1 | -14.5 | -16.5 | -13.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 7,800 | 60% | 14% | 12% | 14% | +16.2 | -5.7 | -4.5 | -5.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 75% | 9% | 8% | 8% | +19.3 | -7.4 | -5.3 | -6.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Kazunori Takizawa | 90% | 3% | 4% | 3% | -2.3 | +4.3 | -2.3 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 4% | 3% | 3% | -2.9 | +3.4 | +2.1 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 88% | 5% | 3% | 4% | -5.4 | +9.1 | -2.0 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 85% | 7% | 4% | 4% | -0.6 | -8.3 | -3.4 | +12.2 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 5% | 3% | 6% | -0.6 | +9.4 | -6.9 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 87% | 6% | 2% | 6% | -1.1 | -1.7 | -1.5 | +4.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 16,000 | 85% | 6% | 2% | 7% | -5.4 | -11.5 | +40.8 | -23.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 82% | 5% | 11% | 2% | -0.7 | +5.3 | -2.8 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,000 | 84% | 5% | 9% | 2% | -1.9 | +11.1 | -3.2 | -6.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 83% | 8% | 8% | 1% | -0.6 | -18.9 | -9.0 | +28.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 1% | 6% | 5% | +2.5 | +10.2 | -5.0 | -7.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 6,000 | 95% | 0% | 0% | 4% | -4.5 | -13.0 | -14.4 | +31.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 7,700 from Takaharu Ooi | 90% | 0% | 0% | 10% | -3.1 | -19.8 | +6.9 | +15.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 81% | 0% | 0% | 19% | +7.4 | -4.1 | +5.6 | -8.9 |