Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/3 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+65.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 18,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +65.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -7.4 | -2.8 | +4.9 | +5.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 21% | 23% | 27% | 29% | -3.1 | -10.8 | +17.0 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 18% | 16% | 41% | 25% | -0.1 | +0.9 | -17.5 | +16.7 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 17% | 25% | 40% | -9.9 | -9.6 | +40.3 | -20.7 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 6,400 from Sasaki Hisato | 10% | 9% | 66% | 16% | -20.1 | +17.2 | +0.8 | +2.1 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 2% | 14% | 68% | 16% | -13.3 | -4.6 | +1.8 | +16.2 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 7% | 70% | 23% | -4.3 | +49.7 | -29.5 | -15.9 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 65% | 21% | 14% | -6.1 | -34.6 | -24.4 | +65.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 3% | 1% | 95% | -1.1 | +14.8 | -14.8 | +1.0 |