Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/3 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+65.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +66.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.1 | -4.5 | +6.6 | +2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 22% | 29% | 27% | -5.2 | -6.9 | +13.9 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 18% | 16% | 40% | 25% | +0.9 | -3.3 | -15.3 | +17.7 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 14% | 25% | 40% | -9.7 | -6.2 | +37.5 | -21.6 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 6,400 from Hisato Sasaki | 11% | 9% | 63% | 17% | -21.9 | +17.1 | +4.0 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 2% | 13% | 70% | 15% | -13.1 | -5.4 | +0.9 | +17.6 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 7% | 70% | 23% | -4.0 | +50.9 | -30.2 | -16.6 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 66% | 19% | 14% | -6.4 | -35.8 | -24.2 | +66.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 3% | 1% | 97% | -1.0 | +15.5 | -14.4 | -0.1 |