Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/3 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -21.0 | +21.6 | -2.0 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Arisa Date ron 1,300 from Sayaka Okada | 13% | 39% | 22% | 26% | -3.3 | -1.2 | -0.9 | +5.4 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 38% | 22% | 30% | +33.3 | -4.3 | -19.2 | -9.8 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date ron 7,700 from Rio Tojyo | 29% | 36% | 12% | 23% | -22.8 | -0.9 | -0.3 | +24.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 15% | 33% | 11% | 42% | +34.0 | -2.3 | -27.3 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 1,500 | 35% | 28% | 3% | 34% | -2.6 | +2.7 | -1.3 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 33% | 30% | 2% | 35% | +17.0 | -6.4 | -7.2 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 52% | 19% | 1% | 28% | +14.4 | -9.5 | -2.5 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 76% | 8% | 0% | 16% | +22.3 | +8.0 | -2.4 | -27.8 |