Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/3 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -20.5 | +20.2 | 0.0 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa ron 1,300 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 40% | 23% | 25% | -4.0 | -1.5 | -2.7 | +8.2 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 38% | 22% | 30% | +35.7 | -5.1 | -20.0 | -10.6 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa ron 7,700 from Tojyo Rio | 32% | 35% | 11% | 23% | -22.0 | -2.0 | +0.1 | +23.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 16% | 31% | 11% | 42% | +30.0 | -0.7 | -25.4 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 1,500 | 34% | 28% | 3% | 35% | -2.6 | +4.3 | -2.5 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 30% | 31% | 2% | 36% | +19.3 | -7.5 | -7.2 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 53% | 19% | 1% | 27% | +14.1 | -8.6 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 77% | 8% | 0% | 15% | +21.9 | +7.0 | -2.5 | -26.4 |