Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/4 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -4.2 | +5.9 | -0.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 30% | 24% | 25% | -9.0 | +24.0 | -7.3 | -7.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Koshin Asakura | 15% | 49% | 18% | 18% | +18.3 | -17.6 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 3,900 | 28% | 34% | 18% | 20% | -5.1 | -3.4 | +12.4 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 32% | 27% | 18% | -1.7 | -2.6 | +4.7 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 29% | 29% | 17% | -0.8 | -2.8 | +2.4 | +1.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 24% | 27% | 32% | 17% | -17.2 | +21.7 | -4.2 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 12% | 46% | 25% | 17% | +1.4 | +33.3 | -31.3 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 6% | 83% | 4% | 6% | +0.3 | +9.9 | +2.3 | -12.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 93% | 3% | 2% | +9.3 | -1.6 | -4.5 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 94% | 2% | 2% | +4.8 | +0.6 | -9.0 | +3.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 97% | 0% | 2% | +8.9 | +0.6 | -10.3 | +0.8 |