Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/4 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 24% | 24% | -6.0 | +7.4 | -0.9 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 29% | 24% | 25% | -5.8 | +22.7 | -9.1 | -7.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Asakura Koshin | 17% | 47% | 17% | 19% | +14.6 | -17.3 | +1.6 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 3,900 | 28% | 32% | 20% | 21% | -2.5 | -2.9 | +10.4 | -5.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 29% | 26% | 18% | -3.8 | -2.2 | +6.8 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 23% | 29% | 31% | 18% | -0.1 | -2.1 | +1.5 | +0.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 27% | 32% | 18% | -17.2 | +20.8 | -3.1 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 13% | 44% | 27% | 17% | +0.5 | +32.5 | -30.8 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 6% | 81% | 6% | 7% | -0.6 | +11.3 | +1.2 | -11.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 93% | 4% | 2% | +9.5 | -0.7 | -4.3 | -4.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 95% | 3% | 2% | +5.2 | -0.3 | -8.5 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 97% | 0% | 2% | +9.4 | +0.5 | -11.4 | +1.5 |