Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/4 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +40.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -3.0 | +6.4 | -6.7 | +3.2 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 23% | 29% | 21% | 27% | -29.3 | +29.7 | -0.4 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,700 | 7% | 54% | 17% | 22% | +7.8 | -3.9 | -2.5 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 10% | 51% | 17% | 22% | -8.4 | +5.0 | +1.6 | +1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 56% | 16% | 22% | -6.1 | -13.8 | +31.6 | -11.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 6% | 40% | 39% | 15% | +2.6 | -0.7 | -0.2 | -1.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 40% | 39% | 15% | -3.9 | -4.9 | +17.3 | -8.5 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,500 | 4% | 30% | 59% | 7% | +5.4 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 29% | 59% | 7% | -6.3 | -1.0 | +1.8 | +5.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 27% | 63% | 8% | -3.4 | +3.9 | +2.5 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 29% | 63% | 7% | -3.8 | +26.6 | -15.9 | -6.9 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki | 1% | 63% | 33% | 4% | -13.0 | +18.0 | -6.5 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 82% | 16% | 1% | -1.5 | -16.3 | +1.5 | +16.4 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 69% | 25% | 6% | -4.0 | -26.0 | +37.7 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 17% | 81% | 3% | +1.4 | +2.3 | -0.6 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 20% | 77% | 3% | -2.2 | +2.3 | -2.6 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 22% | 76% | 2% | -0.8 | +40.7 | -35.4 | -4.5 |