Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/4 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +41.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -3.4 | +6.2 | -6.3 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 23% | 31% | 20% | 27% | -29.1 | +30.0 | +1.1 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,700 | 7% | 54% | 17% | 21% | +6.0 | -3.5 | -3.1 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 53% | 16% | 23% | -7.0 | +2.6 | +5.2 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 55% | 18% | 21% | -7.3 | -13.9 | +30.3 | -9.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 38% | 41% | 16% | +3.8 | 0.0 | -2.2 | -1.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 39% | 39% | 16% | -3.4 | -4.7 | +18.8 | -10.7 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 1,500 | 4% | 29% | 60% | 7% | +4.8 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 29% | 60% | 6% | -6.6 | -2.0 | +1.6 | +7.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 27% | 63% | 9% | -3.2 | +4.6 | +2.2 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 29% | 64% | 6% | -3.0 | +28.4 | -17.6 | -7.8 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 65% | 31% | 3% | -13.8 | +16.0 | -5.2 | +3.0 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 82% | 16% | 2% | -2.0 | -16.7 | +3.8 | +14.9 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 67% | 27% | 6% | -3.6 | -23.5 | +34.3 | -7.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 19% | 79% | 2% | +1.3 | +0.5 | +0.6 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 20% | 78% | 2% | -1.8 | +2.0 | -3.2 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 21% | 76% | 3% | -1.3 | +41.1 | -35.1 | -4.7 |