Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/6 Game 1
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+63.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +34.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -1.2 | +6.7 | -6.4 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 28% | 21% | 27% | -3.9 | -4.8 | +10.1 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,000 | 21% | 25% | 29% | 26% | -2.1 | -2.1 | +9.4 | -5.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 19% | 24% | 35% | 23% | +0.3 | +34.5 | -2.8 | -32.0 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 51% | 28% | 6% | +19.9 | -2.4 | -7.8 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 47% | 21% | 3% | -15.7 | +25.1 | -5.2 | -4.2 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 8% | 79% | 11% | 2% | -7.7 | +2.3 | +0.8 | +4.6 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 86% | 9% | 2% | +34.2 | -6.6 | -21.0 | -6.5 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 23% | 76% | 0% | 1% | -9.1 | +12.3 | +2.0 | -5.2 |