Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/6 Game 2
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +40.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +2.7 | +4.7 | -2.4 | -5.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 3,900 | 27% | 28% | 22% | 24% | +13.1 | -4.4 | -4.1 | -4.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 24% | 20% | 20% | +7.2 | -4.0 | -3.0 | -0.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,000 | 42% | 20% | 19% | 19% | -4.7 | -4.9 | -1.9 | +11.5 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 40% | 18% | 16% | 26% | +1.9 | -12.2 | +10.2 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,500 | 41% | 11% | 22% | 26% | +5.1 | -1.9 | -2.5 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 10% | 20% | 25% | -1.5 | +22.4 | -7.4 | -13.5 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 22% | 16% | 16% | -15.8 | +30.2 | -5.7 | -8.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 48% | 13% | 11% | +1.3 | +1.9 | +1.6 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 51% | 12% | 10% | -2.3 | 0.0 | -5.7 | +8.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 53% | 12% | 12% | +5.8 | -10.6 | +2.0 | +2.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,000 | 33% | 39% | 13% | 15% | +25.2 | -6.3 | -12.1 | -6.8 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 68% | 20% | 2% | 10% | -57.2 | +2.8 | -2.2 | +56.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 27% | 2% | 64% | -3.0 | +40.8 | -10.1 | -27.7 |