Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/6 Game 2
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +40.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +4.3 | +3.7 | -3.5 | -4.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 3,900 | 29% | 27% | 23% | 22% | +12.3 | -5.0 | -4.0 | -3.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 37% | 23% | 20% | 20% | +8.2 | -3.1 | -2.5 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,000 | 43% | 21% | 18% | 19% | -5.6 | -6.9 | -2.0 | +14.6 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 38% | 17% | 17% | 28% | +1.2 | -11.0 | +9.9 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,500 | 39% | 11% | 24% | 26% | +6.6 | -2.0 | -3.5 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 10% | 18% | 27% | -3.0 | +23.1 | -5.3 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 23% | 17% | 16% | -16.4 | +29.0 | -7.2 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 26% | 48% | 13% | 13% | +1.5 | +2.5 | +2.2 | -6.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 49% | 13% | 11% | -1.9 | +0.4 | -6.5 | +7.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 24% | 52% | 11% | 13% | +5.3 | -11.4 | +3.1 | +2.9 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 31% | 39% | 14% | 16% | +26.2 | -4.5 | -13.0 | -8.7 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 67% | 22% | 1% | 9% | -56.7 | +1.6 | -1.9 | +57.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 27% | 2% | 63% | -3.3 | +40.5 | -9.6 | -27.6 |