Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/7 Game 1
Takaya Matsugase finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaya Matsugase's expected points by +40.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,600 from Seiichi Kondo | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -7.7 | +8.7 | -1.9 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Kanako Maruyama ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 19% | 32% | 25% | 25% | -0.7 | -8.0 | +7.1 | +1.7 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 6,400 from Kanako Maruyama | 19% | 25% | 30% | 26% | -1.5 | +2.3 | -20.6 | +19.9 |
| East 4 | Kanako Maruyama ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 17% | 26% | 15% | 42% | -23.4 | +0.2 | +27.0 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 6,400 from Seiichi Kondo | 7% | 24% | 31% | 37% | -16.1 | +21.3 | -1.7 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 42% | 27% | 30% | +10.3 | +3.1 | +3.8 | -17.2 |
| South 3 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 3,000 | 2% | 50% | 29% | 19% | -2.4 | -6.6 | +12.4 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 39% | 44% | 16% | -6.5 | -4.7 | -23.0 | +34.2 |
| South 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 34% | 18% | 48% | -3.0 | +40.9 | -17.5 | -20.3 |