Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/7 Game 1
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +41.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,600 from Kondo Seiichi | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -10.4 | +10.4 | +0.8 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Maruyama Kanako ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 18% | 31% | 26% | 25% | +0.4 | -9.7 | +6.7 | +2.5 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 6,400 from Maruyama Kanako | 19% | 23% | 31% | 27% | +0.7 | +4.9 | -22.6 | +17.0 |
| East 4 | Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 18% | 27% | 14% | 41% | -23.3 | -1.2 | +27.2 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 6,400 from Kondo Seiichi | 8% | 25% | 31% | 36% | -18.2 | +23.4 | +0.8 | -5.9 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 1% | 44% | 28% | 27% | +10.5 | +1.7 | +3.4 | -15.6 |
| South 3 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 3,000 | 3% | 50% | 30% | 17% | -2.3 | -6.3 | +12.1 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 39% | 45% | 14% | -6.2 | -5.6 | -24.0 | +35.7 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 33% | 18% | 48% | -3.0 | +41.1 | -17.4 | -20.7 |