Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/7 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+70.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 3 honba: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 16,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +5.5 | -1.6 | +0.4 | -4.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 22% | 25% | 24% | -3.3 | -3.3 | +9.3 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 26% | 21% | 31% | 23% | -3.4 | +36.9 | -3.4 | -30.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 16,000 | 19% | 47% | 26% | 8% | -9.0 | -25.3 | +44.3 | -10.0 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 11% | 19% | 67% | 4% | +1.1 | -4.3 | +0.6 | +2.6 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,800 from Sayaka Kayamori | 11% | 15% | 71% | 4% | -0.6 | +1.0 | -12.0 | +11.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 19% | 58% | 9% | -1.7 | -3.5 | -0.4 | +5.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 19% | 59% | 10% | -7.0 | +29.4 | -8.5 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 42% | 45% | 4% | -15.0 | -12.9 | +33.5 | -5.7 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 13% | 85% | 1% | -7.3 | -11.2 | +1.3 | +17.2 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 4% | 93% | 3% | -7.1 | -1.4 | -2.8 | +11.3 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 1% | 95% | 4% | -2.5 | +4.3 | +7.9 | -9.7 |