Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

1/10 Game 1

Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +32.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 2End● Taro Suzuki● Arisa Date● Kotaro Uchikawa● Takaya Matsugase0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Taro● Arisa● Kotaro● Takaya
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultArisa Date
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Takaya Matsugase
1st-place chance
Arisa Date
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Takaya Matsugase
Expected pt change
East 1Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki25%25%25%25%-1.3-3.9+6.2-0.9
East 2Arisa Date ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa24%22%29%25%+8.6-4.2-8.5+4.0
East 3Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Arisa Date29%18%23%30%-23.1+26.7-2.3-1.3
East 4Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,00014%40%20%26%-3.1+0.3+9.0-6.2
South 1Arisa Date tsumo 12,00012%39%27%21%+41.4-17.2-11.4-12.9
South 1, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 8,00043%25%19%13%-17.7+32.0-9.1-5.2
South 2Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Arisa Date22%56%12%10%-36.7+29.3+4.3+3.1
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw1%89%5%5%+3.9-2.5-5.7+4.2
South 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw1%90%5%5%-8.0+1.8-7.1+13.2
South 4, 3 honbaTakaya Matsugase tsumo 3,0000%94%0%5%-2.4-2.7-4.6+9.7
South 4, 4 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 2,0000%91%0%9%-8.8+7.3+5.1-3.7

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)