Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/10 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Date Arisa, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.7 | -5.8 | +7.9 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 23% | 21% | 30% | 26% | +8.5 | -2.1 | -5.8 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 29% | 19% | 26% | 26% | -21.5 | +27.8 | -5.8 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 41% | 20% | 24% | -5.1 | -1.2 | +8.6 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 39% | 26% | 21% | +41.1 | -13.1 | -14.3 | -13.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 42% | 27% | 16% | 15% | -16.5 | +27.4 | -5.0 | -5.9 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 22% | 55% | 14% | 10% | -37.0 | +30.3 | +4.0 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 89% | 6% | 4% | +3.2 | -2.5 | -6.5 | +5.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 89% | 5% | 5% | -6.6 | +2.3 | -7.1 | +11.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 95% | 0% | 5% | -3.6 | -3.0 | -3.7 | +10.4 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 91% | 0% | 9% | -8.2 | +7.3 | +4.7 | -3.8 |