Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/10 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+52.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Matsugase Takaya, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -1.4 | -3.5 | 0.0 | +5.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 23% | 24% | 24% | 30% | -5.9 | +38.4 | -32.9 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 16% | 53% | 7% | 25% | +6.9 | -4.2 | -0.2 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 50% | 8% | 23% | -7.3 | -5.5 | -11.9 | +24.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 13% | 40% | 4% | 44% | +1.2 | +0.5 | -5.4 | +3.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 39% | 2% | 46% | +25.9 | -7.4 | -3.7 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 32% | 33% | 2% | 33% | +29.0 | -6.6 | -15.1 | -7.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 60% | 22% | 0% | 18% | +0.7 | +2.7 | -1.1 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 60% | 22% | 0% | 17% | -12.4 | -2.0 | +18.1 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya ron 6,400 from Murakami Jun | 53% | 26% | 2% | 19% | -13.8 | +3.8 | +7.3 | +2.8 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 39% | 32% | 3% | 26% | +13.8 | -1.7 | -6.8 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 59% | 24% | 0% | 17% | -3.6 | -0.9 | -0.9 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 54% | 26% | 0% | 21% | +20.7 | -57.9 | +34.5 | +2.6 |