Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/10 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+52.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Takaya Matsugase, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +28.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -4.2 | -3.3 | -0.1 | +7.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 20% | 23% | 26% | 31% | -2.9 | +39.8 | -33.3 | -3.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 54% | 7% | 24% | +6.1 | -3.0 | -2.8 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 50% | 7% | 24% | -6.0 | -6.5 | -12.4 | +24.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 40% | 2% | 44% | +1.4 | +1.0 | -3.7 | +1.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 40% | 2% | 44% | +25.7 | -7.4 | -4.5 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 33% | 34% | 2% | 31% | +28.0 | -5.6 | -14.5 | -7.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 21% | 1% | 18% | +1.8 | +0.4 | -0.9 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 12,000 | 62% | 21% | 0% | 17% | -12.0 | -1.8 | +17.6 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Takaya Matsugase ron 6,400 from Jun Murakami | 56% | 24% | 1% | 19% | -16.7 | +3.8 | +8.4 | +4.4 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 38% | 32% | 3% | 27% | +15.3 | -1.5 | -7.6 | -6.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 61% | 22% | 0% | 17% | -3.2 | -1.6 | -0.6 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 55% | 24% | 0% | 21% | +20.2 | -56.7 | +34.1 | +2.4 |