Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/11 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Draw, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -11.9 | -6.1 | -2.9 | +20.9 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 16% | 21% | 22% | 40% | +0.3 | -8.6 | +4.6 | +3.6 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,000 | 17% | 15% | 24% | 44% | -4.6 | -4.0 | +16.0 | -7.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 14% | 36% | 36% | -6.6 | -8.8 | +22.5 | -7.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 8% | 56% | 27% | -10.5 | +34.5 | -16.6 | -7.5 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 27% | 42% | 24% | -11.5 | -15.6 | -21.7 | +48.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 3% | 12% | 16% | 69% | +15.2 | -1.7 | +6.4 | -19.9 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 7% | 15% | 27% | 51% | -4.2 | +11.4 | -0.9 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 5% | 23% | 26% | 45% | -2.1 | +5.7 | -0.8 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 5% | 27% | 26% | 42% | -2.9 | -14.1 | +15.9 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 3% | 16% | 39% | 42% | -3.9 | -5.8 | -5.3 | +14.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 9% | 27% | 63% | -4.2 | -5.7 | +36.7 | -26.8 |