Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/11 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Exhaustive draw, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +36.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 24% | -13.9 | -4.2 | -6.5 | +24.6 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 16% | 21% | 19% | 43% | -0.3 | -9.2 | +9.8 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,000 | 16% | 16% | 26% | 42% | -4.3 | -6.2 | +14.8 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 12% | 37% | 38% | -6.8 | -5.8 | +21.4 | -8.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 8% | 55% | 28% | -8.4 | +35.0 | -16.8 | -9.8 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 28% | 41% | 23% | -12.2 | -17.9 | -19.5 | +49.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 3% | 11% | 17% | 69% | +14.7 | +0.5 | +3.8 | -19.0 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 7% | 17% | 24% | 52% | -4.0 | +8.1 | +1.8 | -6.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 21% | 28% | 46% | -1.9 | +8.6 | -4.6 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 5% | 27% | 25% | 43% | -2.0 | -16.4 | +17.9 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 13% | 40% | 44% | -5.8 | -3.9 | -4.7 | +14.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 8% | 28% | 64% | -3.3 | -5.9 | +36.4 | -27.2 |