Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/11 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+74.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +57.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -7.1 | +9.0 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 31% | 25% | 24% | -1.2 | -2.3 | +6.1 | -2.7 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,200 from Go Kobayashi | 19% | 30% | 27% | 24% | +0.6 | +8.9 | -9.5 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 36% | 21% | 24% | -0.7 | -1.2 | -4.1 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 36% | 17% | 27% | -8.5 | -5.6 | +30.3 | -16.2 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 15% | 28% | 42% | 15% | -3.0 | +28.3 | -1.6 | -23.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 57% | 33% | 4% | -3.4 | +4.4 | -3.3 | +2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 63% | 28% | 4% | +28.2 | -9.9 | -10.1 | -8.2 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 54% | 21% | 4% | -20.5 | -29.9 | +57.5 | -7.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 7,700 from Aiko Hinata | 2% | 5% | 93% | 1% | -16.3 | +3.3 | +11.1 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +0.3 | +4.3 | -1.6 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | +2.4 | +2.7 | +0.8 | -5.9 |