Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/13 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+68.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +28.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -0.7 | -13.6 | +12.3 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 22% | 16% | 36% | 25% | +0.1 | +20.5 | -20.6 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 29% | 20% | 26% | -4.9 | +16.5 | -4.4 | -7.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 19% | 42% | 18% | 20% | +21.6 | -3.7 | -20.6 | +2.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 36% | 9% | 21% | -3.4 | -0.3 | +0.4 | +3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 37% | 9% | 24% | +2.7 | -3.8 | +3.9 | -2.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 34% | 33% | 10% | 23% | +18.7 | -3.7 | -10.1 | -4.9 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 51% | 27% | 4% | 17% | +28.3 | -2.3 | +3.8 | -29.9 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 82% | 13% | 3% | 2% | -2.1 | -0.4 | -12.0 | +14.6 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 12% | 2% | 4% | +1.9 | -10.4 | +15.6 | -7.1 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,600 from Ken Sonoda | 91% | 3% | 3% | 3% | +6.4 | +1.0 | -1.4 | -6.0 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +0.6 | +4.9 | +14.5 | -20.0 |