Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/13 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+68.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -4.7 | -11.4 | +14.6 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 20% | 18% | 36% | 26% | +2.8 | +19.5 | -21.4 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 29% | 22% | 26% | -8.0 | +20.1 | -5.8 | -6.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 18% | 45% | 17% | 20% | +24.9 | -6.2 | -20.3 | +1.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 34% | 37% | 8% | 21% | -3.0 | -3.1 | +3.6 | +2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 34% | 35% | 9% | 22% | +2.2 | -1.2 | +1.5 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 34% | 10% | 21% | +17.8 | -5.1 | -8.3 | -4.4 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 52% | 26% | 5% | 16% | +29.0 | -1.9 | +2.6 | -29.7 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 84% | 12% | 3% | 2% | -1.7 | -0.7 | -12.4 | +14.8 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 84% | 10% | 2% | 3% | +1.3 | -9.7 | +15.4 | -7.0 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,600 from Sonoda Ken | 91% | 3% | 3% | 3% | +5.7 | +1.1 | -0.9 | -5.9 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 98% | 1% | 0% | 2% | +0.7 | +4.9 | +14.4 | -20.0 |