Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/13 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -4.5 | -3.2 | -1.8 | +9.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 24% | 24% | 31% | -4.6 | +3.9 | +3.8 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo | 19% | 26% | 26% | 29% | +1.4 | -8.1 | +6.9 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Rio Tojyo | 20% | 19% | 32% | 28% | +0.5 | -7.7 | +7.4 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 20% | 16% | 37% | 28% | -22.2 | -0.4 | -0.9 | +23.5 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Taro Suzuki | 9% | 12% | 34% | 46% | -14.5 | +0.9 | -3.3 | +17.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 4% | 9% | 24% | 63% | -6.9 | +6.8 | -0.1 | +0.3 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 2% | 11% | 23% | 64% | +25.9 | -27.4 | +0.6 | +0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 5% | 22% | 67% | -15.3 | -5.4 | +34.3 | -13.7 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 2% | 61% | 37% | +1.2 | -9.8 | +21.4 | -12.9 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11% | -7.5 | +15.8 | +2.7 | -11.0 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -7.5 | +11.2 | +0.8 | -4.5 |