Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +25.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -25.3 | +20.9 | +0.9 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 11% | 40% | 23% | 26% | -2.0 | -2.7 | +8.2 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 10% | 37% | 29% | 24% | +1.1 | +0.2 | -26.8 | +25.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 36% | 11% | 43% | -4.9 | +4.0 | -2.1 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 8% | 39% | 9% | 45% | +0.7 | -6.5 | -1.6 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 7% | 31% | 9% | 53% | -1.3 | +2.8 | +27.6 | -29.1 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 9% | 39% | 26% | 26% | +9.3 | +1.2 | -12.0 | +1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 13% | 39% | 18% | 30% | -24.4 | +25.8 | +0.2 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 68% | 12% | 19% | -1.9 | +1.6 | -3.9 | +4.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 69% | 10% | 20% | -5.7 | -9.5 | +24.8 | -9.6 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 60% | 23% | 17% | -2.3 | +19.7 | -9.6 | -7.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 90% | 3% | 7% | 0.0 | +5.2 | +5.0 | -10.2 |