Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +26.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -21.9 | +20.1 | +0.7 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 39% | 23% | 25% | -2.3 | -0.6 | +5.3 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 11% | 39% | 27% | 24% | -1.3 | +0.5 | -25.0 | +25.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 37% | 11% | 43% | -3.1 | +3.3 | -3.5 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 9% | 37% | 9% | 45% | +0.1 | -6.2 | -0.1 | +6.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 9% | 31% | 8% | 52% | -1.1 | +1.7 | +27.1 | -27.7 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 10% | 38% | 25% | 27% | +7.5 | +0.7 | -11.0 | +2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 11% | 39% | 19% | 31% | -22.9 | +26.3 | -0.8 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 67% | 12% | 19% | -3.0 | +3.3 | -4.2 | +4.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 71% | 9% | 19% | -4.8 | -11.4 | +27.2 | -10.9 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 59% | 25% | 16% | -2.7 | +20.5 | -11.4 | -6.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 90% | 3% | 8% | +0.1 | +5.3 | +5.2 | -10.5 |