Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/17 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +23.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Nikaido Rumi | 25% | 23% | 26% | 27% | -0.6 | +1.2 | +1.2 | -1.7 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 24% | 25% | 27% | 24% | +5.2 | -3.0 | -2.3 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 1,500 from Sasaki Hisato | 28% | 21% | 26% | 26% | +1.8 | -4.8 | +7.0 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 19% | 30% | 23% | +23.4 | -4.6 | -12.9 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 50% | 14% | 19% | 17% | +0.5 | -10.8 | -0.2 | +10.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 10% | 18% | 22% | -2.8 | +24.3 | -6.7 | -14.9 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,000 | 49% | 22% | 15% | 14% | +15.7 | -6.8 | -5.0 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 65% | 15% | 11% | 10% | -1.4 | +6.8 | -2.8 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 65% | 17% | 9% | 8% | +4.7 | +1.2 | -2.9 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 70% | 16% | 7% | 7% | +2.4 | -31.8 | +31.7 | -2.2 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 76% | 1% | 17% | 6% | +6.5 | -12.3 | -5.6 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 89% | 0% | 4% | 7% | +1.5 | +48.6 | -19.2 | -30.9 |