Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/17 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +25.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Rumi Nikaido | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +0.1 | -0.4 | +2.6 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +5.3 | -4.9 | -0.5 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 1,500 from Hisato Sasaki | 29% | 20% | 27% | 24% | -0.3 | -3.2 | +6.1 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 18% | 30% | 22% | +25.1 | -6.0 | -14.1 | -5.0 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 51% | 14% | 18% | 18% | +0.3 | -9.6 | -1.0 | +10.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 10% | 16% | 23% | -5.0 | +23.7 | -4.3 | -14.4 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,000 | 47% | 22% | 16% | 15% | +17.8 | -6.9 | -5.6 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 68% | 14% | 10% | 9% | -0.8 | +6.4 | -2.3 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 68% | 15% | 9% | 8% | +3.1 | +1.9 | -3.8 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 71% | 15% | 7% | 7% | +3.3 | -31.8 | +31.1 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 78% | 2% | 15% | 6% | +6.0 | -11.9 | -5.2 | +11.1 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 90% | 0% | 3% | 6% | +1.1 | +48.7 | -19.0 | -30.7 |