Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/17 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+63.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +46.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +8.5 | -1.9 | -3.4 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 31% | 24% | 24% | 22% | -32.9 | -1.0 | -0.3 | +34.2 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000 | 10% | 19% | 21% | 50% | -12.7 | +46.6 | -15.1 | -18.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Hori Shingo | 4% | 58% | 11% | 27% | -4.6 | +4.4 | -0.1 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 4% | 61% | 10% | 25% | -3.0 | +4.4 | -2.6 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 3% | 65% | 8% | 24% | -0.2 | -2.1 | -0.1 | +2.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 63% | 9% | 25% | +15.1 | +0.1 | -11.7 | -3.6 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 67% | 4% | 23% | +15.8 | +0.7 | -6.7 | -9.9 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 71% | 4% | 16% | -9.8 | +17.2 | -2.9 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 92% | 1% | 6% | -0.8 | +4.1 | -1.0 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 95% | 1% | 4% | +2.0 | -4.9 | -1.5 | +4.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 92% | 2% | 6% | +2.5 | +4.6 | -7.4 | +0.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -26.9 | -3.6 | +8.1 | +22.4 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 90% | 0% | 10% | -8.9 | -4.5 | +18.7 | -5.3 |