Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/17 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+63.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 18,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +9.9 | -4.4 | -2.9 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 31% | 21% | 23% | 24% | -33.7 | +3.0 | +0.3 | +30.4 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 21% | 22% | 47% | -14.3 | +43.4 | -13.9 | -15.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,900 from Shingo Hori | 5% | 56% | 12% | 28% | -4.9 | +5.7 | -0.4 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 61% | 11% | 26% | -1.0 | +5.7 | -1.6 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 67% | 9% | 22% | -0.2 | -2.6 | -2.7 | +5.6 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 64% | 9% | 24% | +13.2 | +0.6 | -11.0 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 69% | 4% | 22% | +19.0 | -0.4 | -7.4 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 71% | 4% | 16% | -11.3 | +16.7 | -1.0 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 91% | 2% | 6% | -1.9 | +4.2 | -2.3 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 94% | 1% | 5% | +3.8 | -3.8 | -2.4 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 94% | 1% | 5% | +2.6 | +3.9 | -6.6 | +0.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -28.1 | -3.3 | +9.0 | +22.4 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 90% | 0% | 10% | -8.3 | -4.8 | +18.1 | -5.0 |