Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/18 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +53.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 23% | +3.3 | +1.4 | -2.7 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 28% | 25% | 23% | 24% | -3.7 | +35.5 | -0.1 | -31.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 54% | 20% | 6% | -1.4 | -2.6 | +3.8 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,600 from Murakami Jun | 21% | 51% | 21% | 7% | +8.3 | +2.3 | -8.1 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 24% | 55% | 15% | 6% | +1.1 | -12.3 | +16.0 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 28% | 41% | 26% | 5% | -1.9 | -15.2 | +17.5 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 45% | 4% | -2.8 | -5.2 | +6.6 | +1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 20% | 53% | 5% | +53.9 | -14.3 | -30.9 | -8.7 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 2,700 | 93% | 3% | 4% | 1% | +2.5 | -5.8 | +8.4 | -5.1 |