Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/18 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +53.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +4.3 | +1.1 | -1.5 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 29% | 25% | 24% | 22% | -3.6 | +36.0 | -3.6 | -28.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 53% | 18% | 8% | -1.7 | -1.9 | +7.6 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,600 from Jun Murakami | 20% | 53% | 22% | 6% | +8.9 | +1.0 | -9.6 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 54% | 14% | 6% | -1.0 | -9.7 | +14.7 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 26% | 45% | 25% | 4% | -0.1 | -17.4 | +17.8 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 43% | 5% | -2.5 | -4.5 | +6.6 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 22% | 50% | 5% | +53.0 | -15.5 | -29.7 | -7.7 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 2,700 | 93% | 2% | 3% | 1% | +2.1 | -5.0 | +8.7 | -5.8 |