Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/18 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +47.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -6.9 | +0.1 | -0.8 | +7.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 24% | 24% | 31% | -13.4 | +47.2 | -16.5 | -17.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 10% | 63% | 11% | 16% | +0.7 | +1.0 | -10.9 | +9.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 65% | 7% | 18% | -3.8 | -1.8 | +5.7 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 64% | 9% | 19% | +12.7 | +0.7 | -8.0 | -5.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 66% | 6% | 15% | -1.1 | -3.4 | -2.7 | +7.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 60% | 6% | 21% | +6.1 | +1.5 | -2.5 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 16% | 65% | 5% | 15% | -12.5 | +0.8 | -1.9 | +13.6 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Ken Sonoda | 7% | 66% | 4% | 24% | +2.0 | +11.2 | -0.9 | -12.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 81% | 3% | 12% | -3.5 | -2.2 | +3.1 | +2.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 3% | 82% | 4% | 12% | +24.5 | +1.7 | -19.5 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 85% | 0% | 9% | -22.0 | -36.1 | -6.0 | +64.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 12% | 0% | 87% | -3.1 | +42.4 | -0.9 | -38.4 |