Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/18 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +47.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -2.2 | -2.8 | -1.7 | +6.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 23% | 23% | 31% | -16.5 | +47.3 | -15.3 | -15.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 9% | 62% | 12% | 17% | +0.8 | +0.2 | -11.1 | +10.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 10% | 62% | 8% | 20% | -2.5 | -0.7 | +6.1 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 61% | 11% | 19% | +11.8 | +0.4 | -10.6 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 13% | 64% | 5% | 18% | -2.8 | -2.5 | -1.5 | +6.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 60% | 5% | 23% | +9.8 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -6.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 17% | 60% | 5% | 18% | -12.9 | +4.7 | -3.3 | +11.5 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 7% | 67% | 3% | 22% | +0.3 | +9.5 | +1.4 | -11.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 80% | 4% | 12% | -4.0 | -1.1 | +1.7 | +3.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 2% | 82% | 4% | 11% | +25.5 | +2.1 | -19.7 | -7.9 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 86% | 0% | 8% | -22.4 | -35.7 | -6.0 | +64.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 14% | 0% | 85% | -3.0 | +41.6 | -0.9 | -37.7 |