Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/20 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +41.4 | -15.3 | -12.2 | -13.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 14% | 13% | 13% | -6.3 | +17.1 | -8.4 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 22% | 10% | 12% | -2.4 | -0.2 | +5.2 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 52% | 23% | 13% | 12% | +2.1 | -1.2 | -16.5 | +15.6 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 56% | 20% | 6% | 18% | -13.8 | -11.8 | -7.5 | +33.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 39% | 13% | 5% | 44% | -7.5 | +1.6 | -0.7 | +6.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,700 | 30% | 14% | 4% | 51% | +8.0 | -3.5 | -2.0 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,900 | 37% | 12% | 4% | 48% | +11.3 | -2.8 | -2.4 | -6.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 9% | 3% | 39% | -16.0 | -6.0 | -4.0 | +25.9 |
| South 2 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 4% | 2% | 71% | +0.3 | -5.4 | +3.0 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Takaya Matsugase ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 20% | 1% | 2% | 77% | +8.9 | -1.8 | +13.5 | -20.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 2% | 5% | 50% | -3.8 | -3.9 | +6.9 | +0.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 2% | 7% | 52% | -1.5 | -2.4 | +7.8 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 38% | 3% | 11% | 49% | -6.4 | -1.9 | -13.8 | +22.1 |
| South 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 15% | 0% | 1% | 84% | -5.0 | -16.3 | +16.0 | +5.3 |