Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

1/20 Game 1

Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +31.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Suzuki Taro● Takizawa Kazunori● Kondo Seiichi● Matsugase Takaya0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Suzuki● Takizawa● Kondo● Matsugase
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Kondo Seiichi
1st-place chance
Matsugase Takaya
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Kondo Seiichi
Expected pt change
Matsugase Takaya
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
East 1Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,00026%27%23%24%+43.9-15.6-12.4-15.8
East 1, 1 honbaKondo Seiichi tsumo 8,00061%13%13%13%-9.7+18.7-6.0-3.0
East 2Draw52%25%12%12%-0.7-3.6+4.5-0.2
East 3, 1 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya51%21%14%14%+0.9+2.0-16.8+13.9
East 4Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,00054%21%7%18%-12.2-12.2-6.7+31.1
East 4, 1 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori38%15%4%42%-7.4-0.6-1.4+9.4
East 4, 2 honbaTakizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,70030%14%3%52%+9.3-1.9-2.7-4.6
South 1Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,90039%12%3%46%+11.0-3.6-0.6-6.8
South 1, 1 honbaSuzuki Taro tsumo 8,00052%9%3%36%-16.4-5.1-5.5+26.9
South 2Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,00024%6%1%69%-1.4-6.0+3.1+4.2
South 3Matsugase Takaya ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro18%1%2%80%+9.5-2.6+14.1-21.0
South 3, 1 honbaDraw42%2%5%51%-2.1-2.8+6.5-1.6
South 3, 2 honbaDraw40%3%7%51%-2.6-2.5+6.3-1.1
South 3, 3 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya37%3%10%50%-5.7-2.2-12.4+20.3
South 4Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi17%0%0%83%-5.6-16.4+16.2+5.9

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)