Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/20 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +31.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 27% | 23% | 24% | +43.9 | -15.6 | -12.4 | -15.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 13% | 13% | 13% | -9.7 | +18.7 | -6.0 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 52% | 25% | 12% | 12% | -0.7 | -3.6 | +4.5 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 51% | 21% | 14% | 14% | +0.9 | +2.0 | -16.8 | +13.9 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 54% | 21% | 7% | 18% | -12.2 | -12.2 | -6.7 | +31.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 38% | 15% | 4% | 42% | -7.4 | -0.6 | -1.4 | +9.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,700 | 30% | 14% | 3% | 52% | +9.3 | -1.9 | -2.7 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,900 | 39% | 12% | 3% | 46% | +11.0 | -3.6 | -0.6 | -6.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 9% | 3% | 36% | -16.4 | -5.1 | -5.5 | +26.9 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 6% | 1% | 69% | -1.4 | -6.0 | +3.1 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 18% | 1% | 2% | 80% | +9.5 | -2.6 | +14.1 | -21.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 42% | 2% | 5% | 51% | -2.1 | -2.8 | +6.5 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 40% | 3% | 7% | 51% | -2.6 | -2.5 | +6.3 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 37% | 3% | 10% | 50% | -5.7 | -2.2 | -12.4 | +20.3 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 17% | 0% | 0% | 83% | -5.6 | -16.4 | +16.2 | +5.9 |