Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/20 Game 2
Kanako Maruyama finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kanako Maruyama ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo, which moved Kanako Maruyama's expected points by +23.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kanako Maruyama ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +12.5 | -13.9 | +0.9 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 36% | 16% | 24% | 25% | +19.6 | -15.5 | -1.5 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 9% | 21% | 21% | -11.2 | +18.2 | -7.1 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Kanako Maruyama ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 43% | 16% | 19% | 22% | +23.7 | -2.3 | -19.0 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 10% | 9% | 16% | +0.7 | -0.8 | +2.2 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 65% | 11% | 9% | 15% | -2.6 | -31.8 | +34.9 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 3% | 23% | 14% | -3.8 | -1.1 | +7.1 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 56% | 2% | 29% | 13% | +6.1 | +10.2 | -11.4 | -4.9 |
| East 4 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000 | 65% | 4% | 19% | 11% | +19.4 | -3.4 | -4.1 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 1% | 8% | 3% | +1.8 | +2.4 | -1.5 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 88% | 2% | 8% | 2% | -15.8 | -5.5 | -5.2 | +26.5 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 77% | 2% | 10% | 11% | +0.1 | -15.2 | -3.9 | +18.9 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 75% | 0% | 7% | 18% | +6.2 | +13.4 | -20.6 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 1,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 87% | 0% | 0% | 13% | +3.9 | -4.2 | +5.7 | -5.4 |