Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/20 Game 2
Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +21.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maruyama Kanako ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 24% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +16.3 | -14.3 | -2.4 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 36% | 15% | 24% | 24% | +18.8 | -17.2 | -3.5 | +1.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 8% | 19% | 22% | -9.5 | +19.8 | -4.0 | -6.3 |
| East 2 | Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 44% | 16% | 19% | 21% | +21.6 | -3.1 | -20.7 | +2.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 66% | 9% | 7% | 18% | +1.6 | -1.8 | +2.8 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 67% | 10% | 8% | 15% | -3.2 | -29.1 | +36.2 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 62% | 2% | 23% | 12% | -2.8 | -1.9 | +5.1 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio | 57% | 2% | 27% | 14% | +4.2 | +10.2 | -11.8 | -2.7 |
| East 4 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000 | 66% | 4% | 18% | 12% | +19.4 | -2.7 | -2.3 | -14.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 87% | 2% | 9% | 2% | +1.6 | +2.3 | -3.2 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 88% | 2% | 7% | 3% | -15.0 | -5.4 | -4.1 | +24.5 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 77% | 2% | 10% | 11% | -0.4 | -15.5 | -3.5 | +19.4 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 75% | 0% | 7% | 18% | +5.4 | +13.1 | -21.1 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 86% | 0% | 0% | 14% | +4.8 | -4.2 | +6.1 | -6.7 |