Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/21 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +50.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -19.9 | -7.8 | +33.0 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 13% | 17% | 51% | 20% | +15.1 | -1.2 | -13.8 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 18% | 40% | 20% | -1.8 | +8.9 | -3.2 | -4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 24% | 37% | 19% | +3.2 | +1.5 | -9.9 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 24% | 25% | 28% | 23% | -12.9 | +2.4 | +0.6 | +10.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 16% | 26% | 29% | 29% | -14.9 | +17.0 | +1.7 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 40% | 29% | 22% | -18.5 | -9.3 | -12.8 | +40.7 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 23% | 13% | 63% | -6.7 | +50.1 | -15.9 | -27.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 83% | 4% | 14% | -2.5 | -3.5 | -1.8 | +7.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 79% | 3% | 18% | +2.5 | -1.1 | -14.2 | +12.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 74% | 0% | 26% | -3.9 | +10.7 | +4.4 | -11.3 |